PGA Tour: Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

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PGA Tour: Favorites to win the Valspar Championship

This week's PGA tournament will see 144 of the world's top players tee off in Palm Harbor, Fla., for a prize purse of $6.7 million with the winner's share of that standing at $1.2 million. The field nearly doubles last week's 73 TPC Sawgrass competitors and will feature favorites like Sergio García, John Rahm, and world tour leader Dustin Johnson.

Using data from Bovada, Stacker ranked the top 25 players based on their odds to win the tournament, with ties broken by 2019 strokes gained. For each golfer, you'll also find their world ranking, recent results, and detailed breakdowns of their strengths in terms of strokes gained.

Tournament stats:

- Prize purse: $6,700,000
- Course: Innisbrook Golf Resort - Copperhead Course (Palm Harbor, Fla.)
- Yardage: 7,340 yards
- Par: 71
- 2018 winner: Paul Casey
- Weather:
--- Thursday: sunnny (0% chance of precipitation), 70°/55°, 52% humidity
--- Friday: sunnny (0% chance of precipitation), 68°/53°, 51% humidity
--- Saturday: partly cloudy (0% chance of precipitation), 73°/53°, 52% humidity
--- Sunday: partly cloudy (10% chance of precipitation), 77°/58°, 57% humidity

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#25: Branden Grace

- Odds to win: +7000
- World ranking: 42
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
- Last 5 results: T72 - T33 - CUT - T28 - 2

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.28 (PGA rank: 55)
--- Green approach: 0.00 (PGA rank: 113)
--- Around green: 0.04 (PGA rank: 93)
--- Putting: -0.24 (PGA rank: 154)
--- Total: 0.08 (PGA rank: 104)

#24: Charl Schwartzel

- Odds to win: +6600
- World ranking: 98
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T49 (score: 2)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T16 - T6 - WD - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -1.53 (PGA rank: 215)
--- Green approach: 0.02 (PGA rank: 109)
--- Around green: 0.22 (PGA rank: T49)
--- Putting: 0.47 (PGA rank: 34)
--- Total: -0.82 (PGA rank: 180)

#23: Adam Hadwin

- Odds to win: +5500
- World ranking: 68
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T12 (score: -4)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T33 - 75 - T18 - T44

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.57 (PGA rank: T16)
--- Green approach: -0.38 (PGA rank: T169)
--- Around green: -0.38 (PGA rank: 198)
--- Putting: -0.03 (PGA rank: 120)
--- Total: -0.23 (PGA rank: 140)

#22: Russell Knox

- Odds to win: +5500
- World ranking: 62
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T16 (score: -3)
- Last 5 results: T35 - T51 - T39 - T14 - T10

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.03 (PGA rank: 109)
--- Green approach: 0.62 (PGA rank: 25)
--- Around green: 0.24 (PGA rank: 45)
--- Putting: -0.35 (PGA rank: 170)
--- Total: 0.54 (PGA rank: 58)

#21: Tyrrell Hatton

- Odds to win: +5000
- World ranking: 37
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: CUT - T29 - T19 - CUT - T15

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.21 (PGA rank: 73)
--- Green approach: -0.25 (PGA rank: 154)
--- Around green: 0.54 (PGA rank: 6)
--- Putting: 0.00 (PGA rank: T113)
--- Total: 0.50 (PGA rank: 63)

#20: Sung-Jae Im

- Odds to win: +5000
- World ranking: 72
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T51 - CUT - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.48 (PGA rank: 28)
--- Green approach: 0.45 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Around green: 0.28 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Putting: 0.00 (PGA rank: T115)
--- Total: 1.21 (PGA rank: 27)

#19: Ryan Moore

- Odds to win: +5000
- World ranking: 82
- 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 5)
- Last 5 results: T20 - T33 - T28 - CUT - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.13 (PGA rank: T87)
--- Green approach: 0.43 (PGA rank: 41)
--- Around green: 0.24 (PGA rank: 44)
--- Putting: 0.48 (PGA rank: T31)
--- Total: 1.27 (PGA rank: 21)

#18: Bubba Watson

- Odds to win: +4500
- World ranking: 17
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T56 - T17 - T27 - T15 - T4

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.93 (PGA rank: 3)
--- Green approach: 0.16 (PGA rank: 80)
--- Around green: -0.11 (PGA rank: 149)
--- Putting: -0.45 (PGA rank: 179)
--- Total: 0.54 (PGA rank: 57)

#17: Rafael Cabrera Bello

- Odds to win: +4500
- World ranking: 31
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T19 - T25 - T22

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.38 (PGA rank: 41)
--- Green approach: -0.03 (PGA rank: 123)
--- Around green: -0.13 (PGA rank: T151)
--- Putting: 0.58 (PGA rank: 23)
--- Total: 0.82 (PGA rank: T41)

#16: Louis Oosthuizen

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 27
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T16 (score: -3)
- Last 5 results: T56 - CUT - T25 - CUT - 4

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.11 (PGA rank: 94)
--- Green approach: -0.13 (PGA rank: 142)
--- Around green: 0.32 (PGA rank: 34)
--- Putting: -0.51 (PGA rank: 186)
--- Total: -0.21 (PGA rank: 134)

#15: Keegan Bradley

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 33
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T31 (score: -1)
- Last 5 results: T16 - T46 - T10 - T51 - T67

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.24 (PGA rank: T61)
--- Green approach: 1.01 (PGA rank: 6)
--- Around green: -0.04 (PGA rank: 129)
--- Putting: -0.80 (PGA rank: 207)
--- Total: 0.41 (PGA rank: 73)

#14: Kevin Kisner

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 50
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T22 - T23 - T27 - T28 - T26

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.41 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Green approach: 0.27 (PGA rank: 64)
--- Around green: -0.32 (PGA rank: 189)
--- Putting: 0.48 (PGA rank: T31)
--- Total: 0.83 (PGA rank: 40)

#13: Brandt Snedeker

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 46
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T31 (score: -1)
- Last 5 results: T5 - T50 - CUT - T55 - T62

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -0.34 (PGA rank: 174)
--- Green approach: 0.01 (PGA rank: 111)
--- Around green: 0.48 (PGA rank: 11)
--- Putting: 0.78 (PGA rank: 11)
--- Total: 0.93 (PGA rank: 36)

#12: Jason Kokrak

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 90
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
- Last 5 results: T47 - T10 - T9 - T37 - T20

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.48 (PGA rank: 27)
--- Green approach: 1.08 (PGA rank: 4)
--- Around green: -0.06 (PGA rank: 133)
--- Putting: -0.21 (PGA rank: T151)
--- Total: 1.29 (PGA rank: 20)

#11: Lucas Glover

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 84
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T74 (score: 7)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T10 - T4 - T7 - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.36 (PGA rank: 46)
--- Green approach: 0.68 (PGA rank: 21)
--- Around green: 0.18 (PGA rank: T57)
--- Putting: 0.28 (PGA rank: T65)
--- Total: 1.49 (PGA rank: 14)

#10: Jim Furyk

- Odds to win: +3300
- World ranking: 57
- 2018 Valspar Championship: 7 (score: -6)
- Last 5 results: 2 - T9 - T37 - T14 - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.06 (PGA rank: 103)
--- Green approach: 0.76 (PGA rank: 13)
--- Around green: 0.38 (PGA rank: 25)
--- Putting: 0.42 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Total: 1.62 (PGA rank: 9)

#9: Henrik Stenson

- Odds to win: +3300
- World ranking: 39
- 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 6)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T17 - T54 - CUT - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained: player not eligible for ranking

#8: Paul Casey

- Odds to win: +2200
- World ranking: 15
- 2018 Valspar Championship: 1 (score: -10)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T25 - 2 - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.57 (PGA rank: 15)
--- Green approach: 0.23 (PGA rank: T69)
--- Around green: 0.25 (PGA rank: 42)
--- Putting: -0.52 (PGA rank: 189)
--- Total: 0.53 (PGA rank: 59)

#7: Gary Woodland

- Odds to win: +2200
- World ranking: 23
- 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 4)
- Last 5 results: T30 - T36 - T17 - T7 - T9

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.79 (PGA rank: 6)
--- Green approach: 0.61 (PGA rank: 28)
--- Around green: 0.22 (PGA rank: T49)
--- Putting: -0.15 (PGA rank: T140)
--- Total: 1.48 (PGA rank: 15)

#6: Patrick Reed

- Odds to win: +2000
- World ranking: 16
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T2 (score: -9)
- Last 5 results: T47 - T50 - T14 - T22 - 56

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -0.01 (PGA rank: T116)
--- Green approach: -0.16 (PGA rank: 147)
--- Around green: 0.41 (PGA rank: 18)
--- Putting: 0.51 (PGA rank: 29)
--- Total: 0.76 (PGA rank: 45)

#5: Webb Simpson

- Odds to win: +2000
- World ranking: 20
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
- Last 5 results: T16 - T36 - T39 - T20 - T8

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -0.06 (PGA rank: 129)
--- Green approach: 0.71 (PGA rank: 17)
--- Around green: 0.45 (PGA rank: 12)
--- Putting: 0.25 (PGA rank: 70)
--- Total: 1.34 (PGA rank: 18)

#4: Sergio Garcia

- Odds to win: +1600
- World ranking: 26
- 2018 Valspar Championship: 4 (score: -8)
- Last 5 results: T22 - T9 - T6 - T37 - DQ

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.29 (PGA rank: 53)
--- Green approach: 1.37 (PGA rank: 1)
--- Around green: -0.15 (PGA rank: 158)
--- Putting: 0.13 (PGA rank: 86)
--- Total: 1.64 (PGA rank: 8)

#3: Jason Day

- Odds to win: +1200
- World ranking: 12
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T8 - T4 - T5 - 13 - 16

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.85 (PGA rank: 5)
--- Green approach: -0.01 (PGA rank: T119)
--- Around green: 0.16 (PGA rank: 61)
--- Putting: 0.94 (PGA rank: 5)
--- Total: 1.94 (PGA rank: 5)

#2: Jon Rahm

- Odds to win: +1000
- World ranking: 10
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T12 - T45 - T9 - T10 - T5

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.98 (PGA rank: 2)
--- Green approach: 0.29 (PGA rank: 59)
--- Around green: -0.01 (PGA rank: 120)
--- Putting: 0.20 (PGA rank: 74)
--- Total: 1.46 (PGA rank: 16)

#1: Dustin Johnson

- Odds to win: +550
- World ranking: 1
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T5 - 1 - T9 - T45 - 1

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.54 (PGA rank: 22)
--- Green approach: 0.98 (PGA rank: 7)
--- Around green: 0.39 (PGA rank: T21)
--- Putting: 0.68 (PGA rank: T16)
--- Total: 2.58 (PGA rank: 2)