With increased demand often comes shortages, or worsening shortages, in some cases. Between 2021 and 2036, the National Center for Health Workforce Analysis (NCHWA), a division within the Bureau of Health Workforce at the Health Resources and Services Administration, projects a shortage of 6,510 physical therapists nationwide. Within this 15-year period, it expects supply to increase by 17% but demand for physical therapists to increase by 18%. Added to the previous deficit, it results in a 2% deficit overall.
A 2023 report from the APTA indicates that outpatient clinics are having an especially difficult time with PT staffing shortages, though it has shown improvement. It stated that the total vacancy rate averaged 10% in mid-2023, as reported by practices. These rates included physical therapy assistants (PTAs) at 12%, PTs at 11% and support personnel at 8%.
While the overall vacancy rate dropped from 17% in 2022, the ongoing staffing issues remain taxing for many PT practices. Nearly 40% of practices said they had the same number of staff openings in 2023 as the previous year within their clinics, and almost half of this number reported an increase in openings of 50% or more. With 9,809 PTs employed in outpatient clinics in 2023, the deficit still amounted to 1,253, with 1 in every 3 clinics having an opening for a PT nationwide.
The report didn't include a state-by-state breakdown, but the APTA reported that clinics in the West had the highest vacancy rates at 16.7%, with those in the South not far behind at 15.2%. Vacancy rates dropped to 11.1% in the Northeast, and the Midwest had the lowest rate at 7.6%. Surprisingly, small practices felt less impact from vacancies than larger ones.
Repercussions of PT Distribution on Therapy Access
The uneven distribution of PTs across the country can significantly hamper access to essential physical therapy services. While patients can easily obtain care in regions with a high concentration of PTs, residents in underserved areas where PTs are scarce may face long wait times or need to travel great distances to receive care. This limited access could delay treatment, exacerbating injuries or conditions that timely intervention could have managed more effectively.
Because major metropolitan areas tend to have a high concentration of physical therapists, shortages are often particularly acute in rural areas. The resulting healthcare disparities are also particularly concerning in economically disadvantaged regions, where the lack of PTs may contribute to higher rates of chronic pain, disability, prolonged hospital stays and dependence on addictive prescription painkillers.
The five metro areas with the highest concentration of PTs employed per the BLS are also among the top 10 in population and include:
- 16,160 in New York-Newark-Jersey City (NY-NJ-PA)
- 9,120 in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim (CA)
- 8,870 in Chicago-Naperville-Elgin (IL-IN-WI)
- 5,940 in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington (PA-NJ-DE-MD)
- 5,430 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach (FL)
Why Demand for Physical Therapists Is Increasing
Like most healthcare fields, the BLS reports that demand for physical therapists comes partly from the large number of aging baby boomers. While older adults within this generation are staying more active than previous ones, aging adults are still more likely to experience mobility-related injuries, surgeries and medical issues that require rehabilitation through physical therapy.
The National Association of Rehabilitation Providers and Agencies pointed out that another significant reason why there's a PT shortage is many physical therapists are experiencing burnout, like other healthcare professionals. Long and constantly changing hours have caused burnout to increase among physical therapists, leading many to either switch to part-time positions or quit the profession altogether. Many PTs also felt additional post-pandemic stress that made it challenging to establish a satisfactory work-life balance and struggle to remain motivated to continue practicing.