Cities tend to be warmer than the open spaces around them, a well-known phenomenon called the heat island effect. Roads, parking lots and roofs tend to absorb more heat than soil and vegetation. City buildings add surfaces that hold on to heat while reducing circulation of cooling breezes. Human activities, from powering cars and appliances to simply existing (think body heat), give off what's called anthropogenic heat.
Climate change is amplifying this effect. While the average global air temperature has increased about 2 F, "overheating in cities is really five to six times higher," says Mat Santamouris, an architectural scientist at the University of New South Wales in Australia. In Sydney, where he lives, the annual number of days with an average daily 24-hour temperature exceeding 65 F—a threshold for thermal comfort without needing cooling—has gone up more than threefold since 1990, an increase 10 times that of the surrounding natural areas. During heat waves, the heat island effect is often magnified, with temperature differences between urban and undeveloped areas growing even wider.
The heat island effect isn't uniform within a city, and heat maps can line up with class and racial disparities. Affluent areas tend to have more trees, parkland and water features, while poorer communities likely have more heat-absorbing paved surfaces and less tree canopy. That translates into a greater risk for some people as temperatures inch up.
Excessive heat is among the most dangerous of weather-related hazards. During heat waves, heat-related illnesses can increase up to 11 percent for every 1 C (1.8 F) increase in the surrounding air, researchers find. One analysis of temperature and health data collected in summer months in California reported that a 10 F temperature increase was associated with a 2.3 percent increase in deaths. Heat waves trigger more emergency department visits, with young children and those over 65 facing the highest risk. There's also an uptick in hospitalizations from kidney problems, cardiovascular disease, diabetes and electrolyte imbalances.
Perhaps surprisingly, city officials working to better prepare for heat waves have not known where to expect the most extreme urban heat. Relying on temperature data from satellites provides a relatively crude map: Climate research has historically relied on remote sensing made up of pixels that correspond to 30-by-30-meter squares—and while that's useful for depicting larger weather and climate patterns, it misses a lot. Community-led heat-mapping projects fill those gaps by logging temperature and humidity every second at precise locations, five feet above the road, as volunteers drive their assigned routes.
"A satellite can't tell you what you feel like when you're walking down the street," says Max Cawley, director of climate research and engagement at the Museum of Life and Science in Durham, North Carolina, who helped coordinate a volunteer heat mapping campaign in that area.
Heat mapping volunteer campaigns have revealed disparities as high as 20 F between parts of the same city, says Joey Williams, a program manager at the climate adaptation consulting firm CAPA Strategies, which works with city data in partnership with NOAA. In a 2019 study analyzing both satellite and car-mounted sensor data taken from campaigns in three mid-Atlantic cities, he and coauthors found stark within-city microclimates, with temperatures varying by over 15 F. In a midsize or large city on a 90-degree-plus day, it's typical to see differences of at least 10 F, he says.
Back in Reno, the measures I helped to take last summer revealed a dramatic maximum temperature difference of 23 F. Part of that gap was elevation-based—some neighborhoods sit a few hundred feet higher. Still, southern Reno neighborhoods with ample green space were about 10 F cooler on the afternoon of the mapping day compared with more central hot spots near highway and industrial areas. Some less-vegetated suburbs in the adjacent city of Sparks, Nevada, were also running hot.