How Connecticut has voted in every presidential election since 1976

Written by:
January 20, 2021
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How Connecticut has voted in every presidential election since 1976

It is often said that the best predictor of future behavior is past behavior. When it comes to elections, that is true—but it's not true often enough that we know what to expect at the ballot box.

Stacker takes a look at how Connecticut voted in each election since 1976, according to data from MIT Election Data and Science Lab.

States like Hawaii and Rhode Island have been Democratic strongholds for decades, Massachusetts has been voting steadily blue since 1960, and Washington D.C. has never backed a Republican candidate.

On the other side of the political aisle, Alaska has voted Republican in every election but one. Idaho, Kentucky, and Indiana have been Republican for generations, while Nebraska, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Montana, and Wyoming have been voting red nearly every chance they can.

Southern states have been moving as a powerful block for ages, voting Democratic from the Reconstruction after the Civil War until the 1960s, when Southerners opposed civil rights legislation. The Republican Party stepped in with what's known as its Southern strategy to woo those votes, adding an emphasis on the traditional nuclear family, traditional roles for women, and evangelical religion to simmering racial issues.

1976

Connecticut
- #1. Gerald Ford (Republican): 51.9% of votes (5.1% margin of victory)
- #2. Jimmy Carter (Democrat): 46.7%
- #3. Lester Maddox (American Independent Party): 0.5%
- #4. Lyndon Larouche Jr. (U.S. Labor): 0.1%

National
- #1. Jimmy Carter (Democrat): 50.1% of votes (297/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Gerald Ford (Republican): 48.0%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Oregon (+0.2% Gerald Ford), Ohio (+0.2% Jimmy Carter), Maine (+0.8% Gerald Ford)

1980

Connecticut
- #1. Ronald Reagan (Republican): 48.2% of votes (9.6% margin of victory)
- #2. Jimmy Carter (Democrat): 38.5%
- #3. John B. Anderson (Anderson Coalition): 12.2%
- #4. Edward Clark (Libertarian): 0.6%

National
- #1. Ronald Reagan (Republican): 50.8% of votes (489/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Jimmy Carter (Democrat): 41.0%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Massachusetts (+0.2% Ronald Reagan), Tennessee (+0.3% Ronald Reagan), Arkansas (+0.6% Ronald Reagan)

1984

Connecticut
- #1. Ronald Reagan (Republican): 60.7% of votes (21.9% margin of victory)
- #2. Walter Mondale (Democrat): 38.8%
- #3. Gus Hall (Communist Party): 0.3%
- #4. Dennis Serrette (Alliance): 0.1%

National
- #1. Ronald Reagan (Republican): 58.8% of votes (525/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Walter Mondale (Democrat): 40.6%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Minnesota (+0.2% Walter Mondale), Massachusetts (+2.8% Ronald Reagan), Rhode Island (+3.6% Ronald Reagan)

1988

Connecticut
- #1. George H.W. Bush (Republican): 52.0% of votes (5.1% margin of victory)
- #2. Michael Dukakis (Democrat): 46.9%
- #3. Ron Paul (Libertarian): 1.0%
- #4. Lenora Fulani (New Alliance): 0.2%

National
- #1. George H. W. Bush (Republican): 53.4% of votes (426/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Michael Dukakis (Democrat): 45.7%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Washington (+1.6% Michael Dukakis), Illinois (+2.1% George H.W. Bush), Pennsylvania (+2.3% George H.W. Bush)

1992

Connecticut
- #1. Bill Clinton (Democrat): 42.2% of votes (6.4% margin of victory)
- #2. George H.W. Bush (Republican): 35.8%
- #3. Ross Perot (Independent): 21.6%
- #4. Andre Marrou (Libertarian): 0.3%

National
- #1. Bill Clinton (Democrat): 43.0% of votes (370/538 electoral votes)
- #2. George H. W. Bush (Republican): 37.5%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Georgia (+0.6% Bill Clinton), North Carolina (+0.8% George H.W. Bush), New Hampshire (+1.2% Bill Clinton)

1996

Connecticut
- #1. Bill Clinton (Democrat): 52.8% of votes (18.1% margin of victory)
- #2. Robert Dole (Republican): 34.7%
- #3. Ross Perot (Reform Party): 10.0%
- #4. Ralph Nader (Green): 1.7%

National
- #1. Bill Clinton (Democrat): 49.2% of votes (379/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Bob Dole (Republican): 40.7%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Kentucky (+1.0% Bill Clinton), Nevada (+1.0% Bill Clinton), Georgia (+1.2% Robert Dole)

2000

Connecticut
- #1. Al Gore (Democrat): 55.9% of votes (17.5% margin of victory)
- #2. George W. Bush (Republican): 38.4%
- #3. Ralph Nader (Green): 4.4%
- #4. Howard Phillips (Concerned Citizens): 0.7%

National
- #1. George W. Bush (Republican): 47.9% of votes (271/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Al Gore (Democrat): 48.4%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Florida (+0.0% George W. Bush), New Mexico (+0.1% Al Gore), Wisconsin (+0.2% Al Gore)

2004

Connecticut
- #1. John Kerry (Democrat): 54.3% of votes (10.4% margin of victory)
- #2. George W. Bush (Republican): 43.9%
- #3. Ralph Nader (Petitioning Candidate): 0.8%
- #4. David Cobb (Green): 0.6%

National
- #1. George W. Bush (Republican): 50.7% of votes (286/538 electoral votes)
- #2. John Kerry (Democrat): 48.3%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Wisconsin (+0.4% John Kerry), Iowa (+0.7% George W. Bush), New Mexico (+0.8% George W. Bush)

2008

Connecticut
- #1. Barack Obama (Democrat): 60.6% of votes (22.4% margin of victory)
- #2. John Mccain (Republican): 38.2%
- #3. Ralph Nader (Independent): 1.2%

National
- #1. Barack Obama (Democrat): 52.9% of votes (365/538 electoral votes)
- #2. John McCain (Republican): 45.7%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Missouri (+0.1% John Mccain), North Carolina (+0.3% Barack Obama), Indiana (+1.0% Barack Obama)

2012

Connecticut
- #1. Barack Obama (Democrat): 58.1% of votes (17.3% margin of victory)
- #2. Mitt Romney (Republican): 40.7%
- #3. Gary Johnson (Libertarian): 0.8%

National
- #1. Barack Obama (Democrat): 51.1% of votes (332/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Mitt Romney (Republican): 47.2%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Florida (+0.9% Barack Obama), North Carolina (+2.0% Mitt Romney), Ohio (+3.0% Barack Obama)

2016

Connecticut
- #1. Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 54.6% of votes (13.6% margin of victory)
- #2. Donald Trump (Republican): 40.9%
- #3. Gary Johnson (Libertarian): 3.0%
- #4. Jill Stein (Green): 1.4%

National
- #1. Donald Trump (Republican): 46.1% of votes (304/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 48.2%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Michigan (+0.2% Donald Trump), New Hampshire (+0.4% Hillary Clinton), Pennsylvania (+0.7% Donald Trump)

2020

Connecticut
- #1. Joe Biden (Democrat): 59.3% of votes (20.1% margin of victory)
- #2. Donald Trump (Republican): 39.2%
- #3. Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian): 1.1%
- #4. Howie Hawkins (Green): 0.4%

National
- #1. Joe Biden (Democrat): 51.3% of votes (306/538 electoral votes)
- #2. Donald Trump (Republican): 46.9%
- States with smallest margin of victory: Georgia (+0.2% Joe Biden), Arizona (+0.3% Joe Biden), Wisconsin (+0.6% Joe Biden)

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