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Counties where children have the best opportunity for economic mobility in Virginia

Written by:
January 23, 2024
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This story originally appeared on Wealth Enhancement Group and was produced and distributed in partnership with Stacker Studio.

Counties where children have the best opportunity for economic mobility in Virginia

Americans have long understood that their birthplace can significantly affect their futures, and academics have increasingly been able to connect tangible early life factors like where they live and the friendships they've cultivated with potential future income.

Among the most recent studies shedding light on what's known as economic mobility—a person's ability to move themselves and their families up the socioeconomic ladder over their lifetime—are a series of papers authored by Harvard University researchers leveraging vast troves of social networking data.

As part of a national analysis, Wealth Enhancement Group used data from Harvard University's Social Capital Atlas project to identify where in Virginia children have the best (and worst) chances at upward economic mobility.

The research draws on a privacy-protected dataset representing 21 billion friendships from Facebook made public through its parent company Meta's Data for Good project. It also uses anonymous tax records, according to the authors. The scholars assigned a score to locales according to how economically connected low- and high-income people living in the area have historically been over at least a decade, per that data. The dataset does not include scores for about 180 of the 3,000 or so counties in the U.S.

The research attempts to fill in the gaps of previous efforts to study American economic mobility that did not consider a person's vast social networks nor their importance in creating better lives for themselves and their children.

It turns out the ability to cultivate friendships linking people of different socioeconomic backgrounds with one another is the strongest factor in determining whether a child can surpass the earning potential of their parents, Harvard researchers found. They call this economic connectedness.

Read on to find out where economic connectedness is strongest in your state.

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Jordan Kercheff // Shutterstock

#50. Craig County

- Economic connectedness: 0.84
- Median Income: $60,283
- Population: 4,914
--- 96.2% white
--- 0% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0% Asian
2 / 50
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#49. Roanoke County

- Economic connectedness: 0.85
- Median Income: $74,622
- Population: 96,303
--- 86.8% white
--- 5.8% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 3.6% Asian
3 / 50
Khairil Azhar Junos // Shutterstock

#48. Westmoreland County

- Economic connectedness: 0.85
- Median Income: $53,113
- Population: 18,324
--- 65.1% white
--- 25.5% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1% Asian
4 / 50
EchoFree // Shutterstock

#47. Middlesex County

- Economic connectedness: 0.86
- Median Income: $63,782
- Population: 10,686
--- 78.8% white
--- 15.7% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.4% Asian
5 / 50
Ken Schulze // Shutterstock

#46. Chesapeake

- Economic connectedness: 0.86
- Median Income: $85,563
- Population: 247,172
--- 58.3% white
--- 29.6% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 3.5% Asian
6 / 50
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#45. Amelia County

- Economic connectedness: 0.87
- Median Income: $57,420
- Population: 13,220
--- 75.5% white
--- 22.1% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0% Asian
7 / 50
refrina // Shutterstock

#44. Manassas

- Economic connectedness: 0.87
- Median Income: $101,934
- Population: 42,596
--- 57.6% white
--- 13.2% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 5.6% Asian
8 / 50
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#43. Winchester

- Economic connectedness: 0.87
- Median Income: $61,321
- Population: 28,194
--- 74.4% white
--- 9.6% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 2.3% Asian
9 / 50
Timothy L Barnes // Shutterstock

#42. Surry County

- Economic connectedness: 0.88
- Median Income: $61,105
- Population: 6,563
--- 55.7% white
--- 43.2% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.1% Asian
10 / 50
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#41. Floyd County

- Economic connectedness: 0.88
- Median Income: $51,612
- Population: 15,536
--- 94.3% white
--- 2.8% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.5% Asian
11 / 50
ButtermilkgirlVirginia // Shutterstock

#40. Louisa County

- Economic connectedness: 0.89
- Median Income: $70,974
- Population: 37,136
--- 78.6% white
--- 13.7% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.5% Asian
12 / 50
ThomasPerkins.org // Shutterstock

#39. Botetourt County

- Economic connectedness: 0.89
- Median Income: $72,941
- Population: 33,542
--- 93% white
--- 2.6% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.5% Asian
13 / 50
Carolyn M Carpenter // Shutterstock

#38. Caroline County

- Economic connectedness: 0.89
- Median Income: $76,528
- Population: 30,861
--- 65.1% white
--- 25.5% Black
--- 0.4% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1% Asian
14 / 50
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#37. Shenandoah County

- Economic connectedness: 0.89
- Median Income: $58,609
- Population: 44,037
--- 90.6% white
--- 1.9% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.1% Asian
15 / 50
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#36. Greene County

- Economic connectedness: 0.89
- Median Income: $73,844
- Population: 20,374
--- 81.3% white
--- 6.3% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 2.1% Asian
16 / 50
Barry Blackburn // Shutterstock

#35. Gloucester County

- Economic connectedness: 0.9
- Median Income: $77,733
- Population: 38,586
--- 85.4% white
--- 8.6% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.8% Asian
17 / 50
refrina // Shutterstock

#34. Culpeper County

- Economic connectedness: 0.9
- Median Income: $85,274
- Population: 52,021
--- 72.2% white
--- 13.5% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1% Asian
18 / 50
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#33. Henrico County

- Economic connectedness: 0.91
- Median Income: $76,345
- Population: 331,924
--- 53.6% white
--- 29.6% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 9.2% Asian
19 / 50
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#32. Dinwiddie County

- Economic connectedness: 0.91
- Median Income: $68,918
- Population: 28,040
--- 64.5% white
--- 31.5% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.8% Asian
20 / 50
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#31. James City County

- Economic connectedness: 0.92
- Median Income: $94,907
- Population: 77,733
--- 78.1% white
--- 12.7% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 2.6% Asian
21 / 50
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#30. Mathews County

- Economic connectedness: 0.92
- Median Income: $73,229
- Population: 8,548
--- 87% white
--- 9.3% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0% Asian
22 / 50
Melinda Fawver // Shutterstock

#29. Isle of Wight County

- Economic connectedness: 0.93
- Median Income: $84,673
- Population: 38,301
--- 71.2% white
--- 22.6% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1% Asian
23 / 50
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#28. Fluvanna County

- Economic connectedness: 0.93
- Median Income: $82,983
- Population: 27,078
--- 78.5% white
--- 14.4% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.2% Asian
24 / 50
Jon Bilous // Shutterstock

#27. Frederick County

- Economic connectedness: 0.94
- Median Income: $84,317
- Population: 90,287
--- 87.8% white
--- 4% Black
--- 0.4% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.6% Asian
25 / 50
Bryan Pollard // Shutterstock

#26. Radford

- Economic connectedness: 0.94
- Median Income: $44,360
- Population: 16,205
--- 84.6% white
--- 9.1% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.9% Asian
26 / 50
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#25. King William County

- Economic connectedness: 0.95
- Median Income: $74,592
- Population: 17,511
--- 78.8% white
--- 15.2% Black
--- 1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.4% Asian
27 / 50
Jon Bilous // Shutterstock

#24. Warren County

- Economic connectedness: 0.95
- Median Income: $72,840
- Population: 40,442
--- 86.7% white
--- 4.5% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.2% Asian
28 / 50
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#23. Fredericksburg

- Economic connectedness: 0.95
- Median Income: $72,293
- Population: 28,027
--- 61.9% white
--- 20.7% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 3.5% Asian
29 / 50
ImagineerInc // Shutterstock

#22. Albemarle County

- Economic connectedness: 0.96
- Median Income: $90,568
- Population: 111,438
--- 79.9% white
--- 8.8% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 5.6% Asian
30 / 50
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#21. Goochland County

- Economic connectedness: 0.96
- Median Income: $100,517
- Population: 24,300
--- 79% white
--- 15.3% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.7% Asian
31 / 50
Kristi Blokhin // Shutterstock

#20. Orange County

- Economic connectedness: 0.97
- Median Income: $79,211
- Population: 36,001
--- 79.2% white
--- 12.8% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.4% Asian
32 / 50
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#19. Madison County

- Economic connectedness: 0.97
- Median Income: $72,349
- Population: 13,731
--- 86.4% white
--- 7.4% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.8% Asian
33 / 50
Sherry V Smith // Shutterstock

#18. Virginia Beach

- Economic connectedness: 0.98
- Median Income: $81,810
- Population: 457,658
--- 63.9% white
--- 19% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 7% Asian
34 / 50
Adam Mustafa // Shutterstock

#17. Montgomery County

- Economic connectedness: 0.98
- Median Income: $60,666
- Population: 99,294
--- 84.9% white
--- 4.3% Black
--- 0.4% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 6.5% Asian
35 / 50
Regine Poirier // Shutterstock

#16. Spotsylvania County

- Economic connectedness: 0.99
- Median Income: $98,973
- Population: 138,493
--- 69.7% white
--- 16.5% Black
--- 0.4% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 2.7% Asian
36 / 50
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#15. King George County

- Economic connectedness: 0.99
- Median Income: $101,599
- Population: 26,597
--- 75.2% white
--- 16.7% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.2% Asian
37 / 50
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#14. Prince William County

- Economic connectedness: 1.
- Median Income: $113,831
- Population: 477,224
--- 52.8% white
--- 20.9% Black
--- 0.5% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 9.4% Asian
38 / 50
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#13. Hanover County

- Economic connectedness: 1.01
- Median Income: $96,911
- Population: 109,232
--- 84.1% white
--- 8.7% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.7% Asian
39 / 50
OJUP // Shutterstock

#12. New Kent County

- Economic connectedness: 1.01
- Median Income: $101,628
- Population: 22,519
--- 80.5% white
--- 12.7% Black
--- 0.8% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1% Asian
40 / 50
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#11. York County

- Economic connectedness: 1.04
- Median Income: $96,144
- Population: 69,635
--- 72.2% white
--- 13.1% Black
--- 0.1% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 5.4% Asian
41 / 50
John Couture // Shutterstock

#10. Powhatan County

- Economic connectedness: 1.08
- Median Income: $101,395
- Population: 29,979
--- 86.2% white
--- 9.1% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.2% Asian
42 / 50
Comfreeze.Net Inc // Shutterstock

#9. Poquoson

- Economic connectedness: 1.09
- Median Income: $112,026
- Population: 12,382
--- 93.1% white
--- 1.5% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.8% Asian
43 / 50
refrina // Shutterstock

#8. Clarke County

- Economic connectedness: 1.09
- Median Income: $86,633
- Population: 14,726
--- 89% white
--- 4.8% Black
--- 0% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.5% Asian
44 / 50
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#7. Fauquier County

- Economic connectedness: 1.09
- Median Income: $111,368
- Population: 72,416
--- 84.3% white
--- 6.9% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 1.6% Asian
45 / 50
Felix Lipov // Shutterstock

#6. Stafford County

- Economic connectedness: 1.1
- Median Income: $119,818
- Population: 154,204
--- 63.3% white
--- 18.2% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 3.3% Asian
46 / 50
Kristi Blokhin // Shutterstock

#5. Rappahannock County

- Economic connectedness: 1.12
- Median Income: $90,307
- Population: 7,400
--- 88.9% white
--- 4% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 0.5% Asian
47 / 50
Steve Heap // Shutterstock

#4. Alexandria

- Economic connectedness: 1.17
- Median Income: $105,450
- Population: 158,185
--- 58.8% white
--- 21.6% Black
--- 0.2% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 6.4% Asian
48 / 50
MarkVanDykePhotography // Shutterstock

#3. Fairfax County

- Economic connectedness: 1.19
- Median Income: $133,974
- Population: 1,146,825
--- 56.6% white
--- 9.8% Black
--- 0.4% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 20% Asian
49 / 50
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#2. Loudoun County

- Economic connectedness: 1.22
- Median Income: $156,821
- Population: 413,574
--- 59.8% white
--- 7.6% Black
--- 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 20% Asian
50 / 50
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#1. Arlington County

- Economic connectedness: 1.27
- Median Income: $128,145
- Population: 235,764
--- 67.2% white
--- 9.4% Black
--- 0.4% American Indian and Alaska Native
--- 10.2% Asian

This story features data reporting and writing by Dom DiFurio and is part of a series utilizing data automation across 50 states.

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